Saturday 4 October 2014

Markets aren't usually efficient, nor are they usually fair

Fortune magazine recently carried an interview with Robert Greifeld, chief of NASDAQ, which now operates 26 trading platforms around the world. Pity he did not address high frequency trading, which was flagged in the introduction.  But he did suggest that the markets add value and are a benefit for all.  Well he would, wouldn't he?  I would just like to make a point on behalf of the small retail investors, such as myself, before turning to the market efficiency question.

Mr Griefeld says "Contrary to what you might think, retail participation in the market has been on the increase since 2012 and that increase has continued into 2014", in response to the suggestion that retail investors are a little bit scared.  But this does not address why they are increasing their exposure to equity markets.  Is it not more likely that they have simply been pushed into equity investment  by the pathetic returns now available for cash?  They know the risks are high but they don't have much choice.

As to efficiency and value of markets, it cannot be denied that markets are needed to bring enterprises and investors together.  It is also true that greater liquidity and volumes will make the process more efficient and bring unit costs down.  However that is only a relative measure.  Why is it that immense wealth is generated for market makers, traders, hedge fund managers (and sometimes their super rich clients) if the process is so efficient?  It seems obvious to me that this happens in two ways:
 Markets are not efficient and information flow is not perfect, as free market economics requires.  At least from the retail investor perspective, not having the huge investment in technology at my fingertips, markets have always already responded to news before I ever find out about it, so the retail investor misses out while the professionals clean up (all the more reason to invest on value for the long term).
Traders, who are not to interested in holding the underlying investments for their own sake add volume but no value beyond the "liquidity".  But there is no correlation between the profits earned on this business and the value added.  With the market largely being a zero sum game, at least in the short run, then that means these profits are at the expense of someone else, including the private investor and pension holder.

Don't get me wrong, I don't think our free enterprise market-based system is especially bad. Paraphrasing Churchill on democracy, capitalism and free markets are the worst form of social organisation, except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.  But let's not pretend that unfettered markets are efficient.  Even libertarians accept that.  But neither are they necessarily fair, or deliver the kind of society most people want to live in.    That is why  governments need to regulate, monitor and to correct.
Some while ago the French reaffirmed that they will not allow women to cover their faces in public.  I felt an urge to comment on this at the time, but did not.  However  whenever I see women with their faces covered I cannot help but wonder why they do it and after a trip to Vienna, where all the Omanis, who wear hijab, but not niqab, I fell once more the need to comment, so here goes.  

First, I don't think the question of what anyone wears can be taken out of its social, and regrettably today political, context.  What women wear, and did, has been politicised for a very long, long time.  Male dominated societies have for centuries sought to control and suppress women and placing restrictions on what they wear has been part of it, whether it be chastity belts for the wives of crusaders or various forms of covering in numerous other cultures.   

I am not condoning these practices, or others abhorrent to modern minds such as FGM, stoning of adulteresses, casting out of women and girls who are raped and become pregnant (until recently a catholic practice as well as one in some fundamentalist Islamic countries).  Far from it.  We should see them merely as products of their time, functions of an ignorant, unscientific, superstitious world where logic was trumped by superstition, and empathy for others by the harsh brutality of life without medicine and often food.  From this perspective we should surely now evaluate such practices in the context of our own society, and the current state of development of the human race, rather than by reference to medieval, and ignorant times.      

If you accept the benefits of a modern scientific world then why do you cling on to superstition and practice that belongs to another time?  Why is it any longer acceptable culture for a husband to make his wife walk several feet behind?  Why are girls made to sit at the back of a class, or the mosque, or not to be accused of bias, in another room of the synagogue (or not to be let in at all)?  And this not in a religious autocracy but a supposedly liberal democratic country where it is against the law for the same man to discriminate against a woman in his workplace

Whether multi-culturalism is a good thing depends on how we define it.  If it means Jewish country dancing while eating chicken curry and listening to reggae music, I don't have a problem (actually you might have a problem with the dancing and the music).  I acknowledge that mixing of cultures is generally a positive thing;  it can lead to a better understanding and adds a richness to art, language and other aspects of the common cultural environment.  But cultures also come into conflict whether we like it or not and when culture impacts at the level of public policy or law, then we have to make a choice.  A set of rules that says it is OK to kill cannot operate alongside another that says it is not OK.  That goes whether the rules are religious "obligations" or not.  

I don't think it is offensive, let alone racist, for me to say that macho, misogenistic and sometimes aggressively authoritarian behaviour is common in many middle eastern and south asian cultures.  This is not just an opinion, but based on the evidence available to me, from the experience of friends and work colleagues in their own families, from observation living and travelling abroad, and of course from what is reported in the media.  I expect excoriation for this remark, but I assess the values of those cultures against my own, which largely reflect those of the British society I grew up in.  If I were from, say Pakistan, I may say it is not misogynistic to expect women in the family to obey the father, and for children to absolutely follow what the parents expect.  I may say this merely shows a wife's respect for due authority of a husband based on the Q'uran, and a child's respect for age and wisdom.  But my values are based on my own cultural experiences and education and they lead me to question that position.  And it seems to me that small things, like a wife walking several paces behind her husband,  like who is allowed to participate in religious practices or where a wife or mother-in-law should walk in relation to a man, or what a woman is allowed to wear, are all reflections of a bigger picture where men believe they have the right to dominate, in this case backed up by religious dogma.  These things may not impact on me directly, at least in my personal life, but they are part of a bigger culture that does come at some point come into conflict with my culture and that of my country.  

When a culture leads to humiliation, physical abuse and even death, there can be nothing acceptable about it.  But it is surely not necessary to wait for physical abuse or death to ask if multi-culturalism can work in the area of public policy.  In a democracy, we are governed and obey the law, by consent.  We are not a military dictatorship and cannot force everyone to obey the law at all times, or suffer the consequences.  If people do not go along with this then the system breaks down.  And when choosing to live in this country, I think it is reasonable to expect people to by-and-large not only obey the law, but subscribe to the system. I would also argue that it is appropriate to apply a "British" perception to those practices derived from other cultures that impact on public life in this country.  That does not mean that we all have to comply to a stereotype.  There is ample room in British democracy for diversity.  People do generally have a choice of where to live and they need to consider the predominant culture in the place they chose to live.  But if the small things invariably point to larger things, we should perhaps not ignore them after all, but ask what the basis for them is and, if necessary challenge them and the underlying principles where they conflict with British culture (what that is, is of course another question).It is no coincidence in my opinion that so-called cultural crimes, from forced marriages to wife burning and murdering one's own daughter for doing something of which the parents disapprove, are biased against women. 

Turning to the specifics of wearing hijab or a burka, what assumes to be missing for most of the public,miss some facts.  Some here are some that I think are relevant but others are welcome to elaborate.

1.     hijab actually predates Islam as a mode of dress for women in wealthy families  in ancient Arabia.  After all it shows you do not need to work for a living, or more particularly that your husband does not need to send his wife's out to work, since this was at a time when women were chattels, treated as property by their men.  The question of consent did not, for those ladies, probably even come into the picture.
2.    I believe the Quran makes no reference to veiling, but sura 33.53 (the so-called "verse of hijab") says that the prophets followers shoul only speak to his wives "..from behind a hijab", which I have seen translated as screen (otherwise the word hijab is used, in English translations, on the basis that the meaning is understood in English as the form of dress known by that name.
3.    If there is a religious requirement in Islam would appear to be modesty, and that applies equally to men and to women.  However the fact is that this is interpreted in the case of women in wildly different ways, from bright headscarves and heavy make-up of trendy young women on the streets of London to the Burkas forced on women on Afghanistan by the Taliban, against their own cultural norms, or the Niqab of Saudi Arabia forced on women there on pain of death by Abd Al-Wahhab in the 18th and early 19th centuries. 

The Taliban will no doubt consider the ladies in London to be anathema, but you cannot seriously argue that the tens of millions of women in Malaysia, Indonesia or the UK who choose hajib, are not proper Muslims.  So it cannot be that wearing Niqab is a religious duty; it is purely a personal choice based either on coercion, culture or political intent (in the case of the Niqab one can hardly add fashion as a raisin d'être).

So if wearing Niqab is a matter of personal choice it seems to me that if there are public policy issues then it is legitimate to make a case of restricting personal freedom to wear it.  The obvious one is that a hidden face is a threat: masks are routinely used by criminals to hide their identity both from other people and from the ubiquitous CCTV.  I know that civil liberties spokespeople will object to the latter as well, but personally I am not yet afraid of being on camera and in fact feel safer for it.  So there is a balance to be struck here.  And by the way, even men have been know to hide behind them to commit crimes and escape justice.

France being France has made the Niqab ban a matter of social cohesion.  A debate is needed in the UK about what we mean by multi-culturism or social cohesion, but that is a different issue.  We can make a case for banning masks in public on security grounds alone, but there is also a discussion to be had on whether someone should be able to participate in a western democratic, and relatively law abiding society if they hide their face.  If someone can claim Niqab is a religious expression then can they also argue that it is discrimination to prevent someone from teaching or working in a hospital, or as a social worker?  Will they be allowed to drive a car ( banned of course in Saudi Arabia, but not on ground so safety)?




In conclusion, I believe a women has the right to wear what she wants if it does not have consequences for society.  In my view this probably means that she must accept that wearing  Niqab will preclude her going to a great many public places, and taking up many forms of employments.  This is no more oppressive than a ban on public nudity, drunkenness, or smoking for that matter.

Wednesday 1 October 2014

A Niqab does not reflect the values of a liberal democracy

Eleanor Mills wrote in The Sunday Times last week in defence of a woman's right to wear a Niqab despite the fact that she also believes "a Niqab is anti-thetical to mutual understanding and compassion".  Eleanor summarises the problems with the Niqab and most of them are problems for society, not for the wearer.  In liberal democracies we do get ourselves into a knot sometimes, trying to reconcile our thoughts about freedom of individuals and the expectations of society.

In a liberal democracy we value individual freedoms, the right to freedom of expression, religious beliefs, eccentricity and so on.  Unfortunately the right of one to individual expression sometimes conflicts with the rights of others.  Some even interpret their rights in such a way as to bring them into conflict with the concept of liberal democracy itself.  So we have rules, often unwritten, but sometimes enshrined in law, that people should exercise their rights only so long as they do not unduly impact on other people and are not contrary to public good (rightly or wrongly usually enshrined in public policy).  It surely therefore it is never possible to argue ex principe that the freedom of expression is absolute.

In the case of the Niqab, I am happy to allow a woman's right to wear a Niqab (or man, because there are documented cases of men using the Niqab and Burkha to avoid detection by the police or security forces) in private, or in public places where there is no over-riding public interest.  Of course a woman can freely choose to separate herself from the society she moves in but she must accept the consequences as well, which may mean not having access to educational facilities or not being allowed into a bank, a public building or other location where security is a priority.  This is a right of British society to expect social norms such as showing your face when engaging with other people, something essential for proper conversations.

In the case of Saudi Arabia, or other very conservative Muslim societies, I think it is fair for the West to challenge systematic imposition of practices that are surely anathema to civilised, developed, societies.  Women is Saudi Arabia should be free to wear the Niqb if they want to, and some may do so for cultural reasons, but they should not required to by society, or by their fathers,  husbands and brothers.

Incidentally, we are not consistent in applying the "woman's right to wear what she wants".  Nudity and semi-nakedness, page 3 of some tabloids apart, are not normally acceptable in this country in most social situations.